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, decline in manufacturing eased a little bit more than expected in november. joining us, chief european economist. ricar ricardo, thanks for joining us. so still a negative territory. what does this point to in terms of the economic decline for the fourth quarter? >> i think it's in line with the idea that real sgchlt dp will decline by at least 0.2%, possibly 0.3%. it will give us a negative entry point in 2013 when i expect an average growth of minus 0.2%. so still moderately recession territory. >> the german flash composite pmi 47.9, services 48, manufacturing 46.8, is germany -- we just saw the 0.2% print. is girl aermany going to have a negative contract? >> i'm looking for a contraction of minus 0.2. so only aed modest one. i expect activity will stabilize in q1 of next year, but obviously that requires a favorable external environment, meaning u.s. not going into this deep due to the fiscal cliff. and also signs of improvement in asia. >> meanwhile the french pmi says the survey there suggests a 0.7% gdp drop in quarter 4 for france. >> that seems quite large. we've seen in rece
liquidity concerns in the market martin schultz is with us. thanks for joining us. is this a sign of things to come, a big standoff with japan? >> well, it's rather surprising that a hopeful government coming in is picking a fight with the bank of japan when they're starting off. what is happening here is that it seems that the ldp doesn't really have a growth strategy right now and the frustration in industry with the strong yen and slowdown in export is tremendous about that. >> big problems if we have unfettered money printing. would there be as he also says 30 years of deflation? >> well, one of the lessons we have here is that many different monetary policies didn't work so far. we still have an economy that is in restructuring mode with many corporations. so sony, sharp, still trying to get back on their feet. on the other hand, we also have an economy that is slinging simply by aging and what would be needed would be strong growth policies and this is what the bank of japan will be pushing when he's in office. on the other hand, deflation is there, printing more yen might be helping
Search Results 0 to 1 of about 2